Oracle Corporation
📈 TradingView Chart
ORCL carries a Buy consensus from 39 analysts with a mean price target of $255.18. The high estimate reaches $400.00 while the low sits at $155.00. Current price ($201.26) trades 21% below the mean target.
📊 Technical Snapshot
| Indicator | Signal | Value |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 🟡 Neutral | 55.3 |
| MACD | 🔴 Bearish | -2.277873252415482 |
| Bollinger Bands | 🟡 Neutral | Upper $247.08 / Mid $206.09 / Lower $165.11 |
| SMA (50) | 🟢 Above | $183.41 |
| SMA (200) | 🔴 Below | $205.39 |
| OBV | 🔴 Bearish | 🔴 Downtrend |
| ATR (14) | 🟡 Elevated | 7.1% |
| Volume | 🟡 Neutral | Normal |
📈 Multi-Agent Strategy Signals
| Strategy Signal | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 Trend & Momentum | ||
| MA Crossover | 🟡 Neutral | Price vs SMA crossovers — no clear signal. |
| Trend Following | 🟢 Bullish | Higher highs/lows on weekly. |
| Momentum | 🟡 Neutral | RSI, MACD readings — RSI at 49.4. |
| 💰 Valuation & Growth Quality | ||
| P/E Ratio | 🟢 Bullish | Trailing 36.1x / Fwd 25.0x — earnings catching up to price. |
| EPS Growth | 🟢 Bullish | Forward multiple compression narrative intact. |
| Market Position | 🟢 Bullish | ~$578.8B market cap, S&P 500 inclusion catalyst. |
| 📊 Volume & Flow | ||
| OBV Trend | 🔴 Bearish | OBV trending mixed. |
| Volume Activity | 🟡 Neutral | Normal volume. |
| Volatility (ATR) | 🔴 Normal | 3.5% daily range — size positions accordingly. |
| 🌐 Market Dynamics | ||
| 52W Position | 🟡 Neutral | 41.8% below 52W high of $345.72. |
| Sector Rel. Strength | 🟢 Bullish | Sector comparison. |
| Macro Sensitivity | 🟡 Neutral | Monitor macro conditions. |
| 🔧 Technical Patterns | ||
| Bollinger Position | 🟡 Neutral | Price inside bands but near upper. |
| MACD Histogram | 🔴 Bearish | -2.28 — momentum accelerating. |
| MA Alignment | 🟢 Bullish | SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — textbook. |
| RSI Regime | 🟡 Neutral | RSI at 49.4, approaching overbought. |
🎲 Game Theory Equilibrium
The multi-agent game model positions ORCL within the ai (compute) sector. The equilibrium score reflects network effects from interconnected ecosystem participants.
| Metric | Solo Score | Equilibrium Score | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORCL | 0.632 | 0.752 | +0.120 |
Ecosystem force: 39.9% | Signal: bullish | Confidence: medium
Top Influencers:
| Player | Power | Weight | Contribution | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 0.872 | +0.6 | +0.5232 | us-compute |
| MSFT | 0.742 | +-0.5 | +-0.3710 | us-ai-lab |
| AVGO | 0.784 | +0.4 | +0.3136 | us-compute |
| GOOG | 0.756 | +-0.4 | +-0.3024 | us-ai-lab |
| SMCI | 0.588 | +0.5 | +0.2940 | us-compute |
Scenario Probabilities
| Scenario | Probability | Trigger |
|---|---|---|
| 🔵 Best Case | 24% | Positive surprise beyond our data horizon (earnings beat, ecosystem shift) |
| 🟡 Base Case | 50% | Fairly valued — but informed capital may already be positioned |
| 🔴 Worst Case | 26% | Competitive threat or macro risk invisible to public analysis |
🐋 Smart Money Sentiment / Market Flow
Insider Ownership: 40.54% Institutional Ownership: 43.98% of float Institution Count: 10
Top Institutional Holders
| Holder | Shares | % Out |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | 143,310,374 | ~5.0% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 111,115,412 | ~3.9% |
| State Street Corporation | 76,303,175 | ~2.7% |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 56,745,677 | ~2.0% |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 38,948,218 | ~1.4% |
Top 5 concentration: ~14.8% of outstanding shares
Insider Activity (Last 6 Months)
- 🟢 Purchases: 5,980 shares (2 txns)
- 🔴 Sales: 16,260,015 shares (35 txns)
- Net Shares Sold: 16,254,035 shares (37 txns)
Verdict: Insider activity is mixed — both buying and selling detected.
Recent Notable Transactions | 2026-05-29 00:00:00 | BERG JEFFREY S | 2,114 shares | | 2026-05-29 00:00:00 | FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON | 2,114 shares | | 2026-05-29 00:00:00 | ABLO AWO | 2,114 shares | | 2026-05-29 00:00:00 | CHIZEN BRUCE R | 2,114 shares | | 2026-05-29 00:00:00 | MOORMAN CHARLES W IV | 2,114 shares |
Data source: yfinance SEC filings (13F) for institutional holdings, Form 4 filings for insider transactions.
Options Market (3 Nearest Expirations)
| Expiration | Call OI | Put OI | P/C OI Ratio | Call Vol | Put Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 105,681 | 75,044 | 0.71 | 188,561 | 131,215 |
| 2026-06-18 | 355,986 | 241,820 | 0.68 | 79,535 | 38,099 |
| 2026-06-26 | 24,992 | 24,916 | 1.00 | 9,021 | 5,180 |
Data source: yfinance options chains.
Short Interest
- Shares Short: 34,872,175
- Short % of Float: 2.04%
- Days to Cover (Short Ratio): 1.65
- Signal: Low short interest relative to float — limited squeeze potential.
- Month-over-Month: 🔴 Increased 3,520,870 shares (11.2%)
Bid-Ask Spread: -0.03% (🟡 Tight spread)
Data source: yfinance — short interest reported bi-monthly by exchanges.
About Oracle Corporation
HQ: Austin, TX | CEO: Mr. Lawrence J. Ellison | Employees: ~162,000 | Market Cap: ~$578.8B | Revenue: $64.08B
Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business’ infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company’s cloud and license business’ infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Products & Services
- Server systems (rack-scale, blade, GPU-accelerated) for data center and AI workloads
- Storage systems (all-flash, hybrid, NVMe) and storage server platforms
- Networking equipment (switches, adapters, edge computing appliances)
- Enterprise-grade cooling, power distribution, and rack infrastructure
Highlights
- +22% YoY revenue growth
- Market capitalization of ~$578.8B
- Free cash flow of $-22.30B
- Beta of 1.66 (high volatility)
- Dividend yield of 99.00%
Future Growth
- Custom AI ASIC programs with multiple hyperscale partners driving design wins
- 1.6T optical interconnect transition on the horizon
- Expanding data center connectivity portfolio
📊 Market Context
| Market Context | 1W | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ── ORCL Performance ── | |||||
| ORCL | -12.6% | +3.8% | +26.9% | +3.9% | +14.5% |
| SOX | -12.3% | +1.0% | +59.7% | +72.3% | +132.8% |
| ── US Indices ── | |||||
| S&P 500 | -3.8% | -2.0% | +8.9% | +6.2% | +20.3% |
| NASDAQ | -6.3% | -4.2% | +12.8% | +8.3% | +27.7% |
| Dow Jones | -1.5% | +0.4% | +6.9% | +3.9% | +16.5% |
| ── International Semis Markets ── | |||||
| KOSPI (Korea) | -11.5% | +0.1% | +39.4% | +81.5% | +163.1% |
| TAIEX (Taiwan) | -6.8% | +1.6% | +27.4% | +46.9% | +89.4% |
| ── Crypto & Commodities ── | |||||
| Bitcoin | -2.9% | -23.0% | -12.7% | -30.2% | -43.0% |
| Gold | -7.7% | -13.2% | -20.0% | -5.4% | +23.3% |
| WTI Crude | -4.5% | -6.5% | -4.2% | +59.6% | +41.1% |
📰 News Summary
1. 1. Oracle Q4 earnings beat on revenue but miss on cloud sales Oracle reported Q4 results after the bell, beating on revenue but missing on cloud sales, a key metric for its AI infrastructure growth narrative. Read more
2. Is Oracle’s Q4 earnings the next big test for AI trade? — The article frames Oracle’s earnings as a pivotal moment for the AI trade, given its role in cloud and data center demand, with semiconductor stocks already wavering. Read more
3. Dow Jones Futures: Oil Rises On Iran Attacks, Oracle Dives; SpaceX IPO On Launch Pad — Oracle shares tumbled following its earnings miss on cloud sales, highlighting investor disappointment in its AI-driven cloud segment performance. Read more
4. S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Futures Extend Slide As US-Iran Hormuz Tensions Flare Again, Inflation Data Stings: ORCL, DJT, SMCI, TSLA In Focus — Oracle (ORCL) is listed as a key stock in focus amid broader market pressure from geopolitical tensions and inflation data, which could impact tech and data center spending sentiment. Read more
Key Takeaway: Multi-source coverage highlights the catalysts driving Yahoo.
(Sources: Multiple financial news outlets)
📚 Sources
| Source | Data Used |
|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance (ORCL) | Stock price, financials, market cap, volume, bid-ask spread |
| Yahoo Finance Key Statistics | P/E ratios, EPS, short interest, shares outstanding |
| SEC EDGAR | Insider transactions (Form 4), institutional holdings (13F) |
| Yahoo Finance Options | Options chain — open interest, volume, put/call ratios |
| Finviz (ORCL) | Analyst consensus, price targets, technical indicators |
| TradingView (ORCL) | Interactive chart, historical price data |
| DeepSeek LLM | News summarization and multi-agent strategy analysis |
All data is for informational purposes only. Verify independently before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: The content provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
← Back to all posts
