QUALCOMM Incorporated
📈 TradingView Chart
QCOM carries a Hold consensus from 31 analysts with a mean price target of $180.48. The high estimate reaches $300.00 while the low sits at $100.00. Current price ($191.20) trades 6% above the mean target, suggesting analysts see near-term overvaluation.
📊 Technical Snapshot
| Indicator | Signal | Value |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 🟡 Neutral | 47.1 |
| MACD | 🔴 Bearish | -6.981842082208667 |
| Bollinger Bands | 🟡 Neutral | Upper $261.41 / Mid $221.25 / Lower $181.09 |
| SMA (50) | 🟢 Above | $180.27 |
| SMA (200) | 🟢 Above | $163.54 |
| OBV | 🟢 Bullish | 🟢 Uptrend |
| ATR (14) | 🔴 High | 10.6% |
| Volume | 🟡 Neutral | Normal |
📈 Multi-Agent Strategy Signals
| Strategy Signal | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 Trend & Momentum | ||
| MA Crossover | 🟡 Neutral | Price vs SMA crossovers — no clear signal. |
| Trend Following | 🟢 Bullish | Higher highs/lows on weekly. |
| Momentum | 🟡 Neutral | RSI, MACD readings — RSI at 43.5. |
| 💰 Valuation & Growth Quality | ||
| P/E Ratio | 🟢 Bullish | Trailing 22.1x / Fwd 17.9x — earnings catching up to price. |
| EPS Growth | 🟢 Bullish | Forward multiple compression narrative intact. |
| Market Position | 🟢 Bullish | ~$201.5B market cap, S&P 500 inclusion catalyst. |
| 📊 Volume & Flow | ||
| OBV Trend | 🟢 Bullish | OBV trending higher, accumulation confirmed. |
| Volume Activity | 🟡 Neutral | Normal volume. |
| Volatility (ATR) | 🔴 Elevated | 5.5% daily range — size positions accordingly. |
| 🌐 Market Dynamics | ||
| 52W Position | 🟡 Neutral | 26.4% below 52W high of $259.92. |
| Sector Rel. Strength | 🟢 Bullish | Sector comparison. |
| Macro Sensitivity | 🟡 Neutral | Monitor macro conditions. |
| 🔧 Technical Patterns | ||
| Bollinger Position | 🟡 Neutral | Price inside bands but near upper. |
| MACD Histogram | 🔴 Bearish | -6.98 — momentum accelerating. |
| MA Alignment | 🟢 Bullish | SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — textbook. |
| RSI Regime | 🟡 Neutral | RSI at 43.5, approaching overbought. |
🎲 Game Theory Equilibrium
The multi-agent game model positions QCOM within the ai (compute) sector. The equilibrium score reflects network effects from interconnected ecosystem participants.
| Metric | Solo Score | Equilibrium Score | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 0.632 | 0.822 | +0.190 |
Ecosystem force: 63.2% | Signal: bullish | Confidence: medium
Top Influencers:
| Player | Power | Weight | Contribution | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 0.668 | +0.6 | +0.4008 | platform-other |
| ARM | 0.652 | +0.6 | +0.3912 | mobile-edge |
| TSM | 0.758 | +0.5 | +0.3790 | us-compute |
| NVDA | 0.872 | +0.4 | +0.3488 | us-compute |
| GOOG | 0.756 | +0.4 | +0.3024 | us-ai-lab |
Scenario Probabilities
| Scenario | Probability | Trigger |
|---|---|---|
| 🔵 Best Case | 24% | Ecosystem tailwinds accelerate (NVDA scaling, cloud capex surge) — but competitors likely saw it first |
| 🟡 Base Case | 47% | Current equilibrium holds — though our data lags competitors’ |
| 🔴 Worst Case | 29% | Export controls widen or competitor disruption — risk likely understated by public data |
🐋 Smart Money Sentiment / Market Flow
Insider Ownership: 0.13% Institutional Ownership: 84.81% of float Institution Count: 10
Top Institutional Holders
| Holder | Shares | % Out |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | 106,015,881 | ~10.1% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 69,341,312 | ~6.6% |
| State Street Corporation | 52,091,726 | ~4.9% |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 34,192,863 | ~3.2% |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 30,864,702 | ~2.9% |
Top 5 concentration: ~27.8% of outstanding shares
Insider Activity (Last 6 Months)
- 🟢 Purchases: 0 shares (0 txns)
- 🔴 Sales: 350,655 shares (55 txns)
- Net Shares Sold: 350,655 shares (55 txns)
Verdict: All insider activity is selling — no executive has bought QCOM shares on the open market in the last 6 months. The magnitude is modest relative to total executive holdings but the direction is unambiguous.
Recent Notable Transactions | 2026-05-21 00:00:00 | GRECH PATRICIA Y | 829 shares | | 2026-05-20 00:00:00 | GRECH PATRICIA Y | 1,269 shares | | 2026-05-12 00:00:00 | PALKHIWALA AKASH J | 2,500 shares | | 2026-05-05 00:00:00 | AMON CRISTIANO RENNO | 10,000 shares | | 2026-05-04 00:00:00 | AMON CRISTIANO RENNO | 10,000 shares |
Data source: yfinance SEC filings (13F) for institutional holdings, Form 4 filings for insider transactions.
Options Market (3 Nearest Expirations)
| Expiration | Call OI | Put OI | P/C OI Ratio | Call Vol | Put Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 37,246 | 37,634 | 1.01 | 20,682 | 9,564 |
| 2026-06-18 | 129,633 | 123,463 | 0.95 | 15,768 | 6,294 |
| 2026-06-26 | 29,368 | 11,085 | 0.38 | 2,616 | 2,480 |
Data source: yfinance options chains.
Short Interest
- Shares Short: 45,037,224
- Short % of Float: 4.78%
- Days to Cover (Short Ratio): 1.45
- Signal: Low short interest relative to float — limited squeeze potential.
- Month-over-Month: 🟢 Decreased 4,464,408 shares (9.0%)
Bid-Ask Spread: 11.53% (🔴 Wide spread)
Data source: yfinance — short interest reported bi-monthly by exchanges.
About QUALCOMM Incorporated
HQ: San Diego, CA | CEO: Mr. Cristiano Renno Amon | Employees: ~52,000 | Market Cap: ~$201.5B | Revenue: $44.49B
QUALCOMM Incorporated engages in the development and commercialization of foundational technologies for the wireless industry worldwide. It operates through three segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT); Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL); and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI). The QCT segment develops and supplies integrated circuits and system software with connectivity and computing technologies for use in mobile devices; automotive systems for connectivity, digital cockpit, and ADAS/AD; and IoT, including consumer electronic devices, industrial devices, and edge networking products. The QTL segment grants licenses or provides rights to use portions of its intellectual property portfolio, which include various patent rights useful in the manufacture and sale of wireless products comprising products implementing LTE, and/or OFDMA-based 5G products and derivatives; to use cellular standard-essential patents, including 3G, 4G and 5G for cellular devices. The QSI segment invests in early-stage companies in various industries, including 5G, artificial intelligence, automotive, consumer, enterprise, cloud, IoT, and extended reality, and investments, including non-marketable equity securities and, to a lesser extent, marketable equity securities, and convertible debt instruments. It also provides development, and other services and sells related products to the United States government agencies and their contractors. In addition, the company is also involved in Qualcomm government technologies and data center businesses. QUALCOMM Incorporated was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Products & Services
- Custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) for hyperscale AI
- Ethernet solutions (controllers, adapters, switches, transceivers)
- Interconnect products including PAM4 DSPs, silicon photonics, and CPO chipsets
- Storage controllers (HDD, SSD, NVMe, NVMe over Fabrics)
Highlights
- +-4% YoY revenue growth
- Market capitalization of ~$201.5B
- Free cash flow of $9.59B
- Beta of 1.60 (high volatility)
- Dividend yield of 192.00%
Future Growth
- Custom AI ASIC programs with multiple hyperscale partners driving design wins
- 1.6T optical interconnect transition on the horizon
- Expanding data center connectivity portfolio
📊 Market Context
| Market Context | 1W | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ── QCOM Performance ── | |||||
| QCOM | -23.2% | -19.2% | +46.3% | +12.9% | +22.7% |
| SOX | -12.3% | +1.0% | +59.7% | +72.3% | +132.8% |
| ── US Indices ── | |||||
| S&P 500 | -3.8% | -2.0% | +8.9% | +6.2% | +20.3% |
| NASDAQ | -6.3% | -4.2% | +12.8% | +8.3% | +27.7% |
| Dow Jones | -1.5% | +0.4% | +6.9% | +3.9% | +16.5% |
| ── International Semis Markets ── | |||||
| KOSPI (Korea) | -10.6% | +1.0% | +40.7% | +83.2% | +165.6% |
| TAIEX (Taiwan) | -5.2% | +3.3% | +29.6% | +49.5% | +92.7% |
| ── Crypto & Commodities ── | |||||
| Bitcoin | -2.6% | -22.8% | -12.5% | -30.0% | -42.8% |
| Gold | -7.0% | -12.5% | -19.3% | -4.6% | +24.3% |
| WTI Crude | -4.7% | -6.7% | -4.4% | +59.4% | +40.9% |
📰 News Summary
1. SLB Qualcomm Edge AI Pact Adds New Angle To Valuation Story — Qualcomm signed a memorandum of understanding with SLB to co-develop edge AI solutions for the energy sector, expanding its industrial IoT and edge computing footprint. Read more
2. Broadcom Stock And The Two Customers In The Shadows — Broadcom’s AI growth is strong but relies on two undisclosed hyperscale customers, creating concentration risk that could shift competitive dynamics for QCOM in the custom AI chip market. Read more
3. The Software Engine The Broadcom Stock Bears Overlook — Broadcom’s high-margin software business provides stability amid AI chip sales volatility, highlighting a structural advantage QCOM lacks in its own diversification efforts. Read more
4. AMD Stock And The Five-Billion Dollar Whisper — AMD’s rapidly escalating AI revenue ambition signals intensifying competition for QCOM in the data center and AI chip market. Read more
5. Qualcomm (QCOM) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights — QCOM closed at $191.12, down 6.96% in a single session, underperforming the broader market amid sector-specific pressure. Read more
📚 Sources
| Source | Data Used |
|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance (QCOM) | Stock price, financials, market cap, volume, bid-ask spread |
| Yahoo Finance Key Statistics | P/E ratios, EPS, short interest, shares outstanding |
| SEC EDGAR | Insider transactions (Form 4), institutional holdings (13F) |
| Yahoo Finance Options | Options chain — open interest, volume, put/call ratios |
| Finviz (QCOM) | Analyst consensus, price targets, technical indicators |
| TradingView (QCOM) | Interactive chart, historical price data |
| DeepSeek LLM | News summarization and multi-agent strategy analysis |
All data is for informational purposes only. Verify independently before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: The content provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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